NFL Week 14 Picks
October 2nd NFL news ... NFL Week 14 Picks at nflweek14-picks.com
NFL Playoff Betting
Betting doesn’t get any better than the NFL Playoffs at Sportsbook.com. Bet on Wild-Card Weekend, Divisional Playoff matchups, the AFC Championship, NFC Championship and the Super Bowl. Sportsbook.com is home to the most prop bets as well as future bets on the Super Bowl winner. Will the New England Patriots win their fourth Lombardi trophy or can another team upset the favored Patriots? Bet on the NFL Playoffs now, only at Sportsbook.com.
NEW YORK JETS (9-2) at NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (9-2)
Sportsbook.com using Patriots -4 & 45
One of the NFL’s biggest rivalries is renewed, and these are two of the league’s hottest teams. The Jets dominated the second half and frustrated Tom Brady in beating the Pats 28-14 in Week 2. Since then, each team has gone 8-1 SU, with New England 5-3-1 ATS and the Jets 6-3 ATS. The Patriots offense is much more diverse since they traded Randy Moss, which should lessen the impact of shutdown CB Darrelle Revis. Both teams are relatively healthy, with Jets OT Damien Woody (knee), WR Jerricho Cotchery (groin) and DBs Marquice Cole (hamstring) and Dwight Lowery (concussion) all expected to play on Monday night.
The Jets have been true road warriors, carrying an eight-game SU winning streak away from home, including a 5-0 mark this year. New York ranks fourth in the NFL in rushing yards (148 YPG), led by LaDainian Tomlinson (741 yards, 4.5 YPC, 5 TD). The future Hall-of-Famer has gained 770 total yards and five touchdowns in six career games against New England. The Jets’ passing offense has been inconsistent, but Mark Sanchez has averaged 279 passing YPG in his past four games, with seven touchdowns and four interceptions. Sanchez had a huge day in the Week 2 win over New England, completing 70 percent of his passes for 220 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions. The Patriots pass defense currently ranks last in the NFL with 289 passing YPG allowed.
New England has won 25 straight home games with Tom Brady as the starting quarterback. With the Jets boasting the third-best run defense in football (86 YPG), Brady will look to air it out Monday night. Tom Terrific has been just that in his past six games, throwing for 250 YPG, 13 touchdowns and zero interceptions. For his regular-season career against New York, Brady has a 12-5 record and has thrown for 3,614 yards, 18 touchdowns and nine interceptions. The Patriots have not turned the ball over in five of their past six games, while forcing 11 turnovers in those five contests.
Brady has also won six of seven at home versus the Jets. These three trends show why Brady and New England will win and cover on Monday night.
Belichick is 31-10 ATS (+20.0 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND. The average score was NEW ENGLAND 25.9, OPPONENT 17.0 - (Rating = 4*).
NEW ENGLAND is 27-10 ATS (+16.0 Units) revenging a same season loss against opponent since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 21.9, OPPONENT 19.0 - (Rating = 2*).
Play Against - Road teams (NY JETS) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 50 or more yards/game, after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game. (44-18 over the last 10 seasons.) (71%, +24.2 units. Rating = 2*).
Sportsbook.com betting trends show that 75% of action on the spread is backing Brady & the Patriots tonight.
Bill Belichick is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) in the second half of the season as the coach of NEW ENGLAND. The average score was NEW ENGLAND 21.1, OPPONENT 10.5 - (Rating = 3*).
Play Under - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (NY JETS, NEW ENGLAND) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (335 to 370 YPG). (204-128 since 1983.) (61.4%, +63.2 units. Rating = 2*).
Seymour fined for Right-Hook to Roethlisberger
In the 2009 season, the Oakland Raiders only won five games, meaning they went 5-11 last season. This year, things appear to be turning around, even just a little, as the Raiders are 5-6, a marked improvement over last year. In fact, the Raiders were riding a three game winning streak. In order for that streak to have had any chance of staying alive, they shouldn’t have played the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday. Big Ben and the gang put up 35 points against the Raiders, and only spotted them three points for a blowout of mega proportions in Pittsburgh.
Well, these things happen, and I was more than excited to hear that the Raiders were playing the Steelers, because I knew this sort of thing would happen. Blowouts happen, especially to teams run by Al Davis and Tom Cable and playing the Steelers. However, it wasn’t the final score that caused the Raiders to slip back into their pathetic ways. NFL betting is also jumping ship on the Raiders, they are so up and down that betting on them is a risky proposition.
Defensive lineman Richard Seymour, clearly and easily out of frustration, smacked Steelers’ quarterback Ben Roethlisberger following a 22 yard touchdown pass from Roethlisberger, thus increasing the Steelers’ lead to 21-3 in the second quarter. Hey, I know why Seymour hauled off and laid one on Big Ben: He was frustrated, pure and simple. Frustrated because his team was losing by 18 points and it wasn’t even halftime, frustrated because he’s in a Raiders uniform, frustrated that he’s forced to live in that God-awful city, and frustrated because he’s in a Raiders uniform. Still, despite all the frustration, emotions have to be kept in check. This isn’t high school, or prison, so grow up. It’s understood that some of the offensive lineman for the Steelers were running their mouths, and that’s enraging, but that’s still no reason to hit someone.
Seymour hit Roethlisberger while Seymour was arguing with the offensive lineman of the Steelers. Big Ben came over to separate the group, so that his team wouldn’t receive a penalty, and then boom! Big Ben goes down like a sack of laundry. Seymour didn’t even hit the guy he was arguing with, and that just shows the immense lack of discipline that runs amuck within the Raiders organization. The NFL released Seymour’s punishment for the hit on Monday: A $25,000 fine, but no suspension, which is good news for the Raiders I guess, but bad news for the next quarterback.
In NFL betting are you looking at the Raiders? At www.sportsbook.com you will find all your NFL betting needs. Get into the action today.